Brazil’s election is now entering its final stage, and President Jair Bolsonaro is consistently trailing former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. If the trend prevails, will Bolsonaro concede? Many in Brazil think he will not. In this episode of The Americas Quarterly Podcast, veteran political analyst Thomas Traumman examines the final weeks of the campaign and what could happen next. He discusses the latest poll numbers, Bolsonaro’s narrowing options for victory, the crucial roles of gender and religion in the race, as well as what to expect from the military if Bolsonaro contests the results.
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Guest:
Thomas Traumann is a journalist and independent consultant
Host:
Brian Winter is editor-in-chief of Americas Quarterly
Supplemental reading:
The Imminent Election Crisis in Brazil by Brian Winter
Why Foreign Policy Matters for Brazil’s Election by Julia Dias Leite and Feliciano de Sá Guimarães
Why Reelection Would Embolden Bolsonaro Even More by Oliver Stuenkel
AQ Podcast: Latin America’s New Pink Tide and a Look at Brazil