
Bolsonaro and the Prisoner’s Dilemma
The former president’s possible arrest would reshape the electoral process into a broader political conflict, challenging the right.

Uruguay: Orsi’s Main Challenge
The nation’s new president will spend more time and energy managing his core supporters than dealing with his political opponents.

Latin America’s China Ties Won’t Be Easily Severed
Trump scored early as Panama is realigning with Washington. Convincing others to leave Beijing’s orbit may be more challenging.

What Trump’s FCPA Pause Means for Latin America
Suspending U.S. foreign bribery law enforcement could increase corruption risk across the region.

DeepSeek Reveals Latin America’s AI Crossroads
China’s new large language model, LLM, offers the region a chance to seize AI on its own terms but also brings risks of dependency.

Latin American Organized Crime’s Real Target: Local Government
Instead of seeking influence over presidents and legislatures, the region’s criminal groups are increasingly focusing on governors and mayors.

Will Trump 2.0 Play Tougher on Nicaragua’s Dictatorship?
Initial actions by the White House, such as cutting USAID programs, undermine the country’s struggling opposition.

Mexico Is Growing Old. Can It Build a Care System in Time?
The country’s demographic bonus ends with Sheinbaum’s presidency, offering a chance to rethink care and close workforce gender gaps.

REACTION: Ecuador’s Presidential Election Heads to a Runoff
Daniel Noboa and Luisa González will face off in a second round on April 13.

USAID Changes Reflect Short-Term, Transactional U.S. Policy
Latin America can expect U.S. assistance to focus on narrow policy goals, which will have wide-reaching effects.

Chile’s Pension Reform Makes a Case for Political Compromise
The reform raises mandatory contributions and improves women’s benefits, while carrying a high fiscal cost.

As Maduro Goes Rogue, Trump Has Choices to Make
The U.S. can still go beyond pragmatic deals, countering Maduro by using oil as the ultimate leverage.

The Storm for U.S.-Mexico Ties Is Only Beginning
Even though Trump stepped back from the brink on tariffs, structural problems in Mexico point to continued trouble ahead.

Guatemala Aims for Quiet Coexistence with Washington
President Arévalo is betting on discreet cooperation and pragmatic engagement with the Trump administration.

REACTION: The Impacts of Trump’s Tariffs
The decision could push Mexico into a recession, while the U.S. may see higher consumer prices and slower growth.