Mexico’s Economic Slump Might Last Years. Here’s Why.
Disappointing zero growth in 2019 was probably not just a “cyclical” downturn.
In Urzúa’s Resignation, AMLO Gets a Wakeup Call
Carlos Urzúa’s decision to step down as finance minister was a warning – will AMLO listen?
The Bolsonaros Try to Behave (Kind of. For Now.)
With a recession looming and whispers of impeachment growing, Brazil’s president tries a slightly less confrontational approach.
AMLO’s False Sense of Austerity
The Mexican government’s savings plans could come at the cost of people they’re trying to help.
Colombia’s Finances Are Strained. Is Privatization the Next Step?
Venezuelan migration has placed additional pressure on President Iván Duque’s economic team.
The Reasons for China’s Cooling Interest in Latin America
China’s interest in the region has cooled — and that trend will continue, writes a leading expert on Sino-Latin America ties.
Why Markets Should Be Skeptical of Jair Bolsonaro
The leader in polls for Brazil’s October election does not have a pro-business past.
The Trouble With Cuba’s New Economy
When Raúl Castro steps down as Cuba’s president in February 2018, he will hand off to his successor the unfinished task of reforming the economy. It is Cuba’s most urgent need and, at the same time, an increasingly controversial one. Castro succeeded his brother Fidel as president in 2008 amid serious structural economic problems on … Read more
Why U.S. Tax Reform Threatens Mexico’s Financial Future
While tweets and speeches may continue to cause consternation in Mexico and Canada, the existential threat to NAFTA seems to have passed. President Donald Trump is now talking about giving “renegotiation a good, strong shot” rather than rescinding the free trade agreement entirely. On the docket will be intellectual property, labor rights, e-commerce, rules of … Read more
Here’s What Should Worry Mexico More Than NAFTA
It’s fair that Mexican officials would fret over U.S. President Donald Trump’s threats to walk away from the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) – 80 percent of Mexican goods are currently exported to the U.S., and any change to the 23-year-old deal will surely be economically and politically disruptive. But other potential changes in … Read more
Argentina’s Return to Honest Accounting Is More Than Just Numbers
Nearly four years after Argentina became the first country to be censured by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for providing inaccurate data on inflation and economic growth, the international body on Nov. 9 restored the country to good standing. The move provided a win for the government’s reform agenda and offered a positive sign for hesitant … Read more
BNDES Helped Save the Olympics. But Is it Hurting Brazil?
Corrections appended below Updated 8/17/2016 New leadership atop Brazil’s massive national development bank is unwinding a decade of rampant lending that fed large conglomerates and strained the country’s finances. Over the past half-century, Brazil’s Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Economico e Social (BNDES) built huge power plants and highways through the industrial southeast, aided social programs in the … Read more
As Latin America’s Economies Falter, Young Workers Lose Out
This article was updated on May 4. Latin America and the Caribbean are on course for back-to-back years of recession for the first time in 35 years, but the pain isn’t being spread equally. With some of the highest jobless rates of any age group in the region, young Latin Americans have proven particularly vulnerable to … Read more
How Mauricio Macri Plans to Fill a $1 Billion Hole at Aerolíneas Argentinas
Last year was a good one for global airlines. Thanks to falling fuel prices and an increased demand for air travel, the industry earned an estimated $33 billion in 2015. Carriers around the globe earned near-record profits. Not so in Argentina, where according to official figures state-run Aerolíneas Argentinas operated at a loss of nearly … Read more
