Detrás de la peligrosa batalla brasileña sobre las noticias falsas
En la campaña presidencial de 2022, Jair Bolsonaro y sus seguidores podrán forzar los límites de la democracia para proteger su “derecho a publicar”.
Latin America’s Anti-Incumbent Wave Will End in Tears
From Chile to Colombia, voters are looking for change – regardless of what it will bring.
Colombia’s Protests Could Create an Opening for the Center
As politicians on the left and right fuel polarization, signs of an appetite for centrist politics are starting to show.
Lula Is Back. But Which Lula?
Brazil’s former president is running again in 2022. Will he do so as a pragmatic, or more radical figure?
Border Kids Know: Texas Is Still Texas
A personal look at the surprising politics of the US-Mexico border region.
Bolsonaro’s Rough Day: What Does It Mean?
Brazil’s municipal elections saw setbacks for the president, gains for right-wing parties outside his orbit – and promising new voices on the left.
Coming Next to Latin America: Even More Political Fragmentation
Expect even more outsiders in years ahead.
The Cost of Delayed Votes in Chile, Bolivia and Beyond
The pandemic has postponed voting in a region where support for democracy was already on the decline.
Latin America’s Unusual Leadership Vacuum
This year’s “electoral supercycle,” and the race to succeed Washington and Caracas as the hemisphere’s big players.
Venezuela: The Brutal Truth About Maduro’s Election Victory
By any measure, Sunday’s gubernatorial elections in Venezuela did not go well for the opposition. The regime of President Nicolás Maduro took 17 of a possible 23 seats, with, as of this writing, another still up for grabs. Marred by predictable irregularities and government manipulation, the MUD opposition coalition’s decision to participate failed to pay … Read more
Why Argentina’s Kirchner Is Poised for a Comeback – Despite Corruption Charges
If Cristina Fernández de Kirchner wins a senate seat in Sunday’s mid-term elections, as she is poised to do, her comeback would be significant: The former president is under investigation in at least eight separate corruption cases. Part of the explanation for why these investigations have not sunk Fernández’s senate bid may lie with Argentina’s … Read more
Mexico 2018: Can AMLO Really Get to 20 Million Votes?
A question institutional investors often ask regarding Mexico’s presidential elections next year is: Can Andrés Manuel López Obrador actually win? Most polls do indeed put the leftist former mayor of Mexico City, known popularly by his initials, AMLO, ahead of hypothetical adversaries today. But the road to the 20 million votes he likely needs to … Read more
A Kirchner Comeback in Argentina?
If you thought Cristina Fernández de Kirchner was finished with national politics, think again. Less than two years after relinquishing Argentina’s presidency, the 64-year-old Fernández has been meeting with foreign dignitaries, giving primetime interviews, even tweeting out campaign-style videos – in other words, behaving like a candidate for Congress in October’s midterm elections in all but … Read more
Can’t We Give Venezuela’s Opposition a Little Credit?
Venezuela’s opposition is perhaps one of Latin America’s most criticized political forces. Even within the opposition itself, critics abound. Every opposition voter I meet has a long list of complaints about the Democratic Unity Roundtable (MUD, in Spanish), the grand coalition of parties that since 2008 has led the opposition to Chavismo and now President … Read more
Why Piñera Is the Frontrunner to Return as Chile’s President
Eight months before Chileans go to the polls, former President Sebastián Piñera is the frontrunner among a crowded field of candidates. The center-right businessman who was president from 2010 to 2014 leads public opinion polls, and has clearly benefited from the unpopularity of Michelle Bachelet, who preceded him in power – and replaced him when … Read more